LePage, Pingree and Michaud all leading in latest poll

5:37 PM, Oct 19, 2010   |    comments
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PORTLAND, Maine (NEWS CENTER) -- Republican Paul LePage continues to hold onto his lead in the race for the Blaine House according to the latest Pan Atlantic SMS Omnibus poll.

The poll, released Tuesday, surveyed 501 likely Maine voters October 11 and October 15. Several questions about the upcoming election were asked of the participants.

Paul LePage leads the governor's race at 32.9 percent. Democrat Libby Mitchell is in second at 28 percent, Independent Eliot Cutler is at 14 percent, Independent Shawn Moody at 4.6 percent and Independent Kevin Scott at 0.4 percent. More than one in five likely voters remain undecided. The governor's poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.

In the First District Congressional Race, Democrat Chellie Pingree leads Republican Dean Scontras by 16.4 percentage points. Pingree has 49 percent, Scontras 32.6 percent and 18.4 percent are undecided. This poll has a margin of error of +/- 6.2 percent because it is a smaller sample, consisting only of first district voters.

In the Second District Congressional race, Democrat Mike Michaud has a 19.5 percentage pont  lead over Jason Levesque. Michaud comes in with 48.8 percent, Levesque at 29.3 percent and 21.9 percent undecided. This poll has a margin of error of 6.2 percent.

There is a tight race for Question 1, the Oxford County casino referendum. 49.1 percent support it, 44.7 percent oppose it and 6.2 percent are undecided. The Question 1 poll has a margin of error of 4.4 percent.

A question was also asked about Question 3, which reads: "Do you favor a $9,750,000 bond issue to invest in land conservation and working waterfront preservation and to preserve state parks to be matched by $9,250,000 in federal and other funds?" More than half, 56.3 percent of the respondents sat they will vote for the measure, 34.7 oppose it and 9 percent are undecided. This question has a margin of error of 4.4 percent.

Of the 501 likely Maine voters who participated in the poll, 51 percent  were female, 49 percent were male. Political affiliation consisted of 35 percent Republicans, 35 percent Democrats 27 percent Independents or unenrolled voters and 3 percent defined themselves as "other."

By age segment:
19 percent were ages 18-34
22 percent were 35-44
25 percent were 45-54
20 percent were 55-64
15 percent were 65+.


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